|Dew Point:||29.7°F (-1.3°C)|
|Wind:||From the WSW at 7.0 MPH Gusting to 12.0 MPH|
|Wind Chill:||33°F (0°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||29.81" (1009.4 mb)|
Partly SunnyHigh: 36 Low: 20
Mostly SunnyHigh: 35 Low: 24
SunnyHigh: 47 Low: 33
Chance Rain ShowersHigh: 47 Low: 40
Rain Showers LikelyHigh: 51 Low: 30
Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Northwest wind 22 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Northwest wind 12 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 35. Northwest wind 6 to 10 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 24. West wind around 5 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.
A chance of rain showers after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
... A crossing upper-level disturbance will bring the chance of some light snow and flurries today before high pressure settles in for much of the week. Low pressure approaches later on Thursday and will make for a rainy Friday afternoon and evening.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY/... Owing to a strong temperature inversion and shallow mixing depth, the cloud depth is insufficient at this time to generate ice crystal growth, limiting any chance for measurable precipitation (although drizzle or flurries would remain possible).
As cold advection ensues in the wake of a morning wave to the north, the inversion height will increase, low-level lapse rates will steepen, and nwly low-level flow across Lake Erie may implant modest moisture into the instability profile.
As a result, any scattering of clouds this morning will give way to widespread stratocu with only modest heating, leading to an increase in clouds. There may be a brief window late this afternoon and evening when instability may be sufficient for updrafts to reach sufficient depth for ice growth, and low PoPs for snow showers or freezing drizzle were included during this time, primarily north of I-80.
Most models indicate no measurable precipitation at all, given the low likelihood of upward motion reaching a zone where ice crystal growth could be expected. The most likely outcome appears to be a drizzle or highly-inefficient flurry/light snow scenario.
Building high pressure late tonight will suppress any additional precipitation and promote lighter wind.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/... High pressure will be the dominant feature through Thu, with temperature by mid-week climbing well above seasonal averages. A dry forecast with widespread maxima in the 40s/low 50s can be expected.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Precipitation chances will begin to increase again late on Thu as low pressure deepens over the Southern Plains and eventually approaches from the sw.
Substantial rainfall appears likely on Fri aftn/eve as a deep sly/swly fetch from the Gulf develops ahead of the approaching system. While the geographic placement of heavy rain is not clear at this time, ensembles suggest high confidence in both the track, temperature and tenure of the system to expect measurable rainfall late Fri.
In the system's wake, precipitation may change briefly to snow on Sat. If this transpires, any accumulation is not expected to be of substance.
After the warm second half of the work week, temperature will fall back into the 30s for the weekend.