|Dew Point:||26.9°F (-2.8°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||30.25" (1024.3 mb)|
CloudyHigh: 40 Low: 32
Slight Chance Freezing Rain then Light RainHigh: 43 Low: 41
Chance Rain ShowersHigh: 52 Low: 22
SunnyHigh: 34 Low: 20
Mostly SunnyHigh: 38 Low: 24
Cloudy, with a high near 40. West wind around 3 mph.
A slight chance of freezing rain after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
A slight chance of freezing rain before 7am, then rain. Cloudy, with a high near 43. Southeast wind 8 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind 12 to 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Southwest wind 21 to 33 mph, with gusts as high as 54 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunny, with a high near 34.
Mostly clear, with a low around 20.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 38.
... Dry weather under high pressure will continue until rain chances return with weekend low pressure. Strong winds are also expected on Sunday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... GOES 16 Nighttime Microphysics RGB shows high level clouds continuing to spread over the CWA. Expecting some decrease in these mid/high level clouds over the region this afternoon as moisture with an advancing shortwave across the TN Valley to the Mid Atlantic region sinks S. Dry weather is expected today under building sfc high pressure, as high temperatures climb to near seasonal levels.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... A trough is progged to advance from the Wrn CONUS to the plains region Saturday. Increasing moisture and shortwave support in SW flow aloft ahead of the trough should result in rain chances returning late tonight, and increasing on Saturday. There could be a brief period of freezing rain in cooling upslope SE flow Saturday, though confidence in this occurrence is low as models continue a trend of slowing the arrival of the precip.
The trough is expected to track from the Plains to the Upper Great Lakes by Sunday, as a developing sfc low takes a similar path. Rain should become widespread Saturday night as the sfc low pulls a warm front N across the region. The low's associated cold front is expected to cross the region Sunday morning. Widespread rain should end by Sunday morning, though a few showers remain possible as a shortwave embedded in the main trough approaches the Upper OH Valley region. A few snow showers are possible Sunday night N PIT until the passage of the wave.
Total rainfall is expected to range from 1/2 to 1 inch, with the highest amounts S of I 70. Localized flooding is possible in this area as creeks and streams are already elevated.
The biggest impact of the weekend is expected to be strong wind gusts on Sunday and Sunday night with a tight pressure gradient on the Wrn side of the departing sfc low, strong pressure rises occur, and mixing begins. Issued a high wind watch for the area for this period. BUFKIT model profiles and old rules of thumb indicate the potential for 50-60 mph gusts across the forecast area. Issued a high wind watch for this potential.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Dry weather should return Monday under weak ridging. Precip chances return Tuesday night/Wednesday as a trough tracks SE across the area. Weak ridging returns dry weather for Thursday. Model ensembles and WPC progs were used for the long term period, to smooth out the sometimes significant operational model run differences.